The Play-In Tournament has concluded, and the 2024 NBA Playoffs are finally here! We have so much to offer during the NBA Playoff season, including this NBA Player Props article that will feature the best props to target for each day.
In the table below, you can find my top two NBA player prop picks for today, Saturday, April 20, featuring bets for Grayson Allen and Jalen Brunson. Let's break down how I'm targeting these two players tonight.
NBA Player Props TodayTime (ET)Player Prop3:30 p.m.Grayson Allen Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made6 p.m.Jalen Brunson Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds + AssistsSpecific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.Wolves vs. Suns Player PropsSaturday, Apr 203:30pm ETESPNGrayson Allen Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-112)After signing a juicy four-year contract for $70 million dollars on Tuesday, Grayson Allen is living the good life. In his first season with the Phoenix Suns, Allen is averaging a career-high 13.5 points per game, while shooting 49.9% from the field and an incredible 46.1% from behind the arc. His perimeter shooting is what we will focus on for this prop. Allen has made 2.7 3-pointers per game this season and that jumps to 3.2 per game since the All-Star Break.
The Minnesota Timberwolves had the best defensive rating during the regular season at 108.4 per game. However, the Suns have gotten the better of the Timberwolves, winning the season series 3-0. In fact, the Timberwolves have failed to get within 10 points of the Suns in any game during the second half this season. The Suns have dominated this matchup, which is why they are favored to win this series by a comfortable -155 in the DraftKings sportsbook.
Allen has made at least three 3-pointers in each game against the Timberwolves. Our model has him projected to make 2.9 3-pointers tonight. There are several Allen props that look great in our model, but making perimeter jump shots is what Allen does best. Playing alongside great playmakers like Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal creates so many open looks for Allen who has been a sniper all season long.
Timberwolves' opponents are only shooting 35.4% from distance against them this season, but Allen is making an absurd 62.5% in their three meetings. Expect another great shooting display tonight from Allen who has been dialed in from long distance. The Suns are one-point road underdogs, but have played the Timberwolves great this season.
Pick: Grayson Allen Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-112)The best North Carolina sports betting apps are now live! Learn more and register for the best bonus offers.
Knicks vs. 76ers Player PropsSaturday, Apr 206:00pm ETESPNJalen Brunson Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)The New York Knicks earned every bit of the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. They finished the season winning five-straight games, including an overtime victory over the Bulls in the regular season finale. It is also hard to find a player who is cooking as much as Jalen Brunson. Over his last six games, Brunson is averaging a monstrous 37.8 points, 8.3 assists, and 3.6 rebounds per game while shooting 49.3% from the field and 40% from behind the arc.
With Julius Randle out for the year, Brunson has taken over most of the production for the Knicks. In 33 games without Randle this season, Brunson is averaging 31.5 points and 7.1 assists per game with a 37.5% usage rate. His usage rate jumps nearly 8% and during that explosive 10-game stretch, Brunson posted a 40.6% usage rate. The ball is in his hands on nearly every Knicks possession. Expect another incredible playoff run from the heart of the Knicks.
The Knicks are three-point home favorites against the 76ers who they beat in three of their four meetings this season. The 76ers are fully healthy and had to play great basketball down the stretch to claim the No. 7 seed. This is expected to be a tight game and series, which bodes well for Brunson. One of the best attributes for taking a Knicks player prop is the playing time. Brunson is projected to 40 minutes in this matchup and that might be a little low.
Given how well he has played recently, Brunson may get over his points, rebounds, and assists player prop by his scoring alone. Our model has Brunson projected for 45.8 points, rebounds, and assists tonight, which is comfortably over his player prop. Shop around for the best odds, but I would feel confident on this prop up to 42.5 in this spot.
Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)